Unexpected Whitepills

It's not all dark clouds on the horizon

Our regular readers are well aware that we have no shortage of blackpills. We are two years into a cold civil war, a year into a soft coup, eight months into a proxy civil war. Our generals, secret policemen and spies are disloyal and incompetent. There are 100,000 internal refugees with no expected date of return home. Our American sovereigns seem to be hitting the phase of their imperial decline where they cut us loose to be eaten by feral third worlders, as though we were Rhodesians or Minnesotans or something. Our industrial base is so rotten that we can’t make our own ammunition. The software bubble whose proceeds we used to plaster over the basically fake socialist nature of our economy seems to be popping. “Could the last Israeli please turn out the lights?”

But we’ve been here before. The 1967 war was preceded by months of waffling and anxiety, with incompetent and cowardly Israeli leadership conducting haruspicy on Newsweek articles to see which way the wind was blowing. Even at the height of the war, Israel went along with Egyptian tales of triumph to keep from being punished for winning too hard. During the Yom Kippur war, senior IDF rabbis consoled Israeli Air Force pilots with the fact that even if the war were lost and the state would fall, the Jewish people would survive. The First Lebanon War was used by our leftists as a stick with which to beat the right wing government into collapse, and so on. Our state has spent its history lurching out of one idiotic self-inflicted disaster and into another, and yet we’re still here, so it seems God wants us around. Enough blackpills. Let’s have some white pills, courtesy of Doctor Lexus!

Gazan flight

In Gaza, Bibi’s principled refusal to make decisions and the IDF leadership’s principled refusals to implement them have turned what should have been a weeklong operation into an open ended one, lasting eight months so far with no end in sight. Our generals had no desire for a rapid victory; Bibi would have taken the credit, potentially using the political capital to assign blame for October 7th and even purge his enemies. Bombastic announcements that Hamas and all others responsible for the massacre would be destroyed predictably decayed into IDF legal directives forbidding the targeting of non-Hamas terrorists (you see, it’s immoral to kill your enemies for what they have done, it is only permitted to kill them to prevent them from doing something in the future. Perhaps next week IDF snipers will be required to ensure their target will not repent between the bullet leaving the barrel and impact, causing them to have killed an innocent man!) The rhetoric of the senior leadership has changed to claims that Hamas can not be destroyed, since it is an idea.

The idea:

This all sounds terrible, but there’s a huge silver lining. Our enemy is actually not Hamas or Islamic Jihad, but rather the population of Gaza. As the late Saleh Al Aruri explains above, it was not Hamas which committed most of the atrocities of October 7th, but rather Gazan civilians. Gazans hate Jews, see killing, torturing and enslaving Jews as noble behavior, and are quite willing to pay the price. Hamas was elected in Gaza with overwhelming popular support because it convincingly presented itself as the organization most committed to and capable of exterminating and expelling the Jews. If it were to be eliminated tomorrow, the people of Gaza would support Islamic Jihad. If Islamic Jihad were to be eliminated, the people of Gaza would create something worse. “If ye will not drive out the inhabitants of the land from before you; then it shall come to pass, that those which ye let remain of them shall be pricks in your eyes, and thorns in your sides, and shall vex you in the land wherein ye dwell.”

If the IDF had conquered Gaza in a week, it would have immediately pivoted to making sure Gazans were comfortable, rebuilding their destroyed homes, providing them with food, water, electricity and medical care, and reassuring them that there is no reason to leave even as they reorganized their guerrilla forces. As it is, the hesitant and incohesive manner in which the IDF is fighting puts this moment off into the indeterminate future. Israeli attempts to provide aid have been stymied by Arab looting. The American pier which was supposed to create an influx of aid was washed away into the sea.

As a result, the Gazans have been suffering and are voting with their feet. Despite the official Egyptian refusal to accept Gazan refugees, hundreds of thousands have already crossed into Egypt. The majority of the remainder understand that there is no future for them in Gaza. The Egyptian government is broke, the Egyptian military is corrupt and incompetent, and it’s only a matter of time before masses of Gazans flood across the border again and make their way to the Nile River Valley, where the housing and jobs are. The hundred million unproductive Egyptians living in squalor will easily absorb two million more unproductive Gazans. The most active and entrepreneurial ones will continue onwards to Europe as refugees. The longer the war drags on inconclusively, the more pressure builds up to make that happen.

Muslim demoralization

Hamas and its allies have invested a lot of resources and energy inflating civilian losses and suffering and accusing Israel of various war crimes and atrocities. Israel has responded by putting the hasbara apparatus into overdrive to defend itself against the accusations, deploying Aharon Barak into the Hague and so forth. This has not had the desired effect, with the enemy narrative continuing to intensify.

Paradoxically, this is a major positive for Israel because it leads to massive Muslim demoralization. If, as Hamas claims, the Jews have been slaughtering Muslim women and children, starving and humiliating the people at will, then why isn’t Hamas stopping them? How is Hamas, heroic mujahideen that they are, totally incapable of preventing the IDF from running wild and doing all of these bad things to Gazans at will? And where is the umma? Why are the billion Muslims of the world not doing anything? Where are the Gulf kingdoms, nuclear-armed Pakistan, Egypt, Turkey? For that matter, where are the Shi’a? Hezbollah supposedly has hundreds of thousands of missiles, why haven’t they erased the Zionist Entity? Why has Iran restrained itself to a single ineffectual attack?

Arab military losses in the War of Independence and the Six Day War led to massive Arab demoralization, the rise of Arab socialist regimes and the loss of faith in them, followed by the rise of Palestinian liberation theology as implemented by secular and Islamist terror groups. The current war, as it is perceived in the Muslim street, represents the bankruptcy of the latter. The regimes which look best may be the ones which have come to terms with the existence of Israel (for the time being). The positions of Hamas and Islamic Jihad degrade, since they are seen as having brought disaster upon the Gazans by launching a war and then failing to win it. Likewise, the positions of Hezbollah and Iran are suffering, as their actions fail to live up to their apocalyptic rhetoric; the Iranian economy is reeling from decades of funding jihad in the Middle East, and there may well be severe internal political consequences shortly.

Among what passes for intellectuals in the Muslim world, the mood is increasingly one of despair and disappointment. In my own right wing racist corner of the Twittersphere, I’ve watched a young American of Palestinian descent and Bronze Age persuasion, Abdullah Yosef, go from extolling the Gazans as the harbingers of the rising barbarian Nietzschean ubermensch to denouncing the majority of the Ummah as “Islamicate biomass”, “hundreds of millions of useless people” whose utterly unproductive lives would be best ended in the mines. The responses of his fellow Muslims range from sympathetic agreement to “you’re biomass just like we are, brother.” The general mood among Muslims is turning to despair and self-disgust.

As predicted

Political shift in Europe and the US

Israeli subservience to international opinion (actually, the opinion of American and European governments, academia and media) has been a major contributor to the decades of failure and retreat which found their culmination in this war. Attempts at appeasement through hasbara, concessions and retreat have occasionally been successful tactically, but always set the stage for further attacks, requiring more hasbara, concessions and retreat: a losing strategy

Fortunately, secular Western elites’ hatred of Israel and love for the Palestinians is not an unprincipled exception driven by antisemitism, but rather the consistent expression of their post-Xtian worldview. In this worldview, the wretched, violent, unproductive and dysfunctional are adored mascots and sacrifices, to be embraced, protected and supported. The painful consequences of their violence and wretchery are to be alleviated, and those who defend themselves from their attacks moderated. Needless to say, any party making headway against the holy wretches is to be excoriated, sanctioned, punished!

Since history moves dialectically, every thing brings its antithesis into being. Decades of massive import of these violent wretches into the West in a blatant attempt to replace native populations or at least drive them into submission through civil war by proxy did not bring about the natural conclusion described by Jean Raspail in Camp of the Saints, for the same reason that trees do not grow to the moon. The wretches proceeded to inflict their normal wretched behavior upon their new hosts. As the influx tanked host economies while driving housing prices through the roof, the old bargain (“go along and we’ll reward you, speak out and we’ll punish you”) is breaking down. Countries like France, Germany and England, bastions of the old paradigm, are seeing an upswelling of mass dissent and demand to expel all of the wretches, with hymns like Auslander Raus and Je Partira Pas.

It remains to be seen whether the European masses who are starting to prefer accusations of Neonazism to being driven into poverty and preyed upon by legions of imported orcs will win or lose, but it’s likely that they will give their political classes something to focus on beyond patronizing our local orc legions.

Haredi draft

The Haredim are the fastest growing Israeli demographic. For decades, they had an arrangement with the establishment which involved Haredi political quietism in exchange for draft exemptions and subsidies. The establishment has seen fit to annul that arrangement for tactical political gains (an attempt to destabilize Bibi’s coalition.) The Haredim represent the most naturally right wing sector of the Israeli public, and their numbers will only increase in the future. The consequences of their forced politicization will be dramatic.

Establishment bankruptcy

The catastrophic Yom Kippur war began as an operational defeat and ended as an operational victory leading to strategic defeat. This was the culmination of decades of missteps, crimes and failures of the Israeli political left. The Israeli right which then rose to power turned out to be not much better. Throughout this process, the ostensibly non-political parts of the establishment like the IDF and courts picked up the prestige lost by their political counterparts.

This war is existential; defeat means another, much larger October 7th massacre is inevitable. It’s also a quagmire, due to the endless failures of both the political and non-political echelons. The scope and length of the war ensures hundreds of thousands of young Israeli men get plenty of time and opportunity to experience the bankruptcy of their establishment at close range. This is leading to the establishment delegitimization among precisely the segments of society which historically create revolutions and regime change.

Cometh the hour, cometh the man

In short, cheer up, guys! Just as our current catastrophe is the direct product of our past successes, so too it will bring its own solutions into being, if God has mercy upon us. All we need now is a true leader, with the vision to empower those capable of implementing them.